基于县域GWR模型的国土资源执法满意度的空间分析

黄姿瑜　焦伟　王晶

摘要：以新疆國土执法监察情况为研究对象，在研究阿克苏地区土地执法监察现状、问题和原因的基础上，解读新疆地区土地执法监察体系建设存在难点，并提出思考。在满意度调查问卷基础上引入Logistic模型回归检验，构建满意度方程，分别对2006、2010、2014年阿克苏县域满意度进行空间分析和驱动因素分析。结果显示，①从问卷情况看，地方财政收入与经费预算情况等客观经济因素制约硬件设备及执法手段；巡查路线固定可能留有执法死角或背影范围；违法宣传教育工作仍然是执法监察系统内外部高度关心方向。②从执法空间格局上看，东北县（市）执法满意度较高，西南县（市）较低；农村居民用地并不是主要违法对象；城市人口增长与土地违法情况恶化呈正相关，城市化进程中违法情况和执法难度呈现出加大趋势；民族成分与执法满意度呈负相关，表现为少数民族比重越大，地区执法情况越复杂、形势越严峻。国土执法监察是维护土地管理和土地市场秩序的基本途径，需多渠道不断加强完善，提高执法成效，实现土地资源开发利用的可持续发展。

关键词：国土执法；Logistic；满意度；GWR；阿克苏地区

中图分类号：F331.1 文献标识码：A 文章编号：0439-8114（2017）20-3986-05

DOI：10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2017.20.046

Abstract： Taking the land law enforcement supervision of Xinjiang as the research object， the status， problems and reasons of land law enforcement in Akesu area were studied to interpret and discuss the difficulties in establishing land law enforcement supervision mechanism of Xinjiang. The Logistic regression test was introduced based on the satisfaction questionnaire， a satisfaction prediction equation was constructed to respectively analyze the spatial data and driving factors of Akesu's county satisfaction in 2006， 2010， 2014. Results showed that， ①from the questionnaire， objective economic factors such as local fiscal revenue and expenditure budget were constraints for the hardware equipment and law enforcement measures， some deadly serious problems or back scope of law enforcement may be existed in the fixed patrol route， and the illegal publicity and education were still internal and external direction highly concerned by the law enforcement supervision system. ②from the spatial pattern of law enforcement， the satisfaction of law enforcement in northeast counties was higher than the southwest counties， rural residential land was not the main object of law-breaking. City population growth was positively related to the deterioration of land illegal behaviors， and the difficulty of law enforcement in urbanization was increasing. The ethnic composition was negatively correlated with the satisfaction， the larger the proportion of minority was， more complex the law enforcement was， and the more serous the situation was. Land law enforcement supervision is a basic way to maintain the land management and land market order， so it was needed to strengthen and improve in multi channels， to improve the effectiveness of law enforcement， and realize the sustainable development of land resources development and utilization.

Key words： land law enforcement； Logistic； satisfaction； geographically weighted regression； Akesu areaendprint