中国国家体育产业基地空间格局演变及其影响因素

肖年乐 周道平 赵彬彬

摘 要： 國家体育产业基地是体育产业发展的空间载体和排头兵，研究其空间布局及演变规律对推进体育产业高质量发展具有重要意义。以2006—2021年国家体育总局命名、认定的334个国家体育产业基地为研究样本，运用最邻近指数、标准差椭圆、空间自相关等方法分析国家体育产业基地空间格局演变的类型、模式及趋势，进而结合地理加权回归（GWR）模型探究其空间格局演变的影响因素。结果显示：国家体育产业基地发展具有显著的空间集聚性，并且随时间推移集聚程度呈上升态势；国家体育产业基地空间重心迁移轨迹呈“迂回向西”发展，东西部地区国家体育产业基地的发展差距逐渐缩小；国家体育产业基地在全局上具有显著的空间正相关，局部空间自相关中的象限分布未随时间发生明显的跃迁，存在较强的路径锁定效应。国家体育产业基地空间格局演变是经济发展水平、科技创新环境、旅游资源禀赋、政府支持力度等因素共同作用的结果，各影响因素具有明显的强度差异和空间异质性。

关键词： 国家体育产业基地；空间格局；地理加权回归；空间异质性；影响因素

中图分类号：G80-052   文献标识码：A  文章编号：1006-2076（2023）02-0012-10

Spatial Pattern Evolution and Its Influencing Factors of National Sports Industry Base in China

XIAO Nianle 1，ZHOU Daoping 1，ZHAO Binbin 1，2

1.School of Sports Science， Jishou University， Jishou 416000， Hunan， China; 2. School of Sports Science， Shenyang Normal University， Shenyang 110034， Liaoning， China

Abstract： The National sports industry base is the space carrier and spearhead of the development of sports industry. It is of great significance to study its spatial layout and evolution rules to promote the high-quality development of sports industry. Taking 334 national sports industry bases identified by the General Administration of Sport of China from 2006 to 2021 as research samples， this paper analyzes the evolution types， patterns and trends of spatial pattern of national sports industry bases by using the methods of nearest proximity index， standard deviation ellipse and spatial auto correlation. Furthermore， GWR mode was used to explore the influencing factors of spatial pattern evolution. The results show that the development of national sports industry base has significant spatial agglomeration， and the agglomeration degree increases with the passage of time; The spatial center of gravity of the national sports industry base develops in a roundabout westward way， which plays an important role in narrowing the development gap between the eastern and western regions of the national sports industry base; The national sports industry base has a significant spatial positive correlation on the global level， and the quadrant distribution of local spatial auto-correlation does not have an obvious transition with time， and there is a strong path locking effect. The spatial pattern evolution of the national sports industry base is the result of the joint action of economic development level， scientific and technological innovation environment， tourism resource endowment， government investment and other factors， which have obvious intensity difference and spatial heterogeneity.

Key words： national sports industry base; spatial pattern; geographically weighted regression;  spatial heterogeneity; influencing factor

国家体育产业基地是我国重点培育的体育产业国家队，是体育产业集聚的高级化形态 ［1］，是“十四五”时期推动体育产业成为国民经济支持性产业的重要载体。随着国家体育产业基地发展势头强劲，其空间格局不仅能够捕捉到体育产业发展的集聚化程度，还能全面真实地反映体育产业发展的空间战略布局。……