新型城镇化缩小城乡居民消费差距研究

徐　敏，　张小林

(石河子大学 商学院，新疆 五家渠　831300)

新型城镇化缩小城乡居民消费差距研究

徐敏，张小林

(石河子大学 商学院，新疆 五家渠831300)

摘要：在分析城镇化影响城乡居民消费差距内在机理的基础上，利用泰尔指数测算城乡居民消费差距，熵权法的综合指数测算新型城镇化发展水平，运用VAR模型的协整检验和脉冲响应分析方法检验1990~2012年我国新型城镇化与城乡居民收入差距的关系。结果表明：新型城镇化与城乡居民收入差距之间存在协整关系，新型城镇化对城乡居民消费差距的影响表现出一定的时滞性，短期内会拉大城乡居民消费差距，长期两者呈负相关关系。为缩小城乡居民消费差距，提出加强户籍制度改革，提高城镇化“质量”，缩小城乡居民收入差距和提高政府对农村地区的转移支付水平等对策建议。

关键词：新型城镇化；城乡居民消费差距；VAR模型

文章编号：1671-1653(2015)03-0001-07

中图分类号：F126.1

文献标识码：：A

DOI10.3969/j.issn.1671-1653.2015.03.001

Abstract:Based on analysing the internal mechanism of urbanization to consumption gap between urban-rural residents, this article uses Theil index,entropy weight to test new-type urbanization. By using cointegration test and impulse response, the relationship between China's new-type urbanization and the urban-rural consumption gap from 1990~2012 is empirically analyzed by VAR model. The results are that there is an equilibrium relationship between the new-type urbanization and the urban-rural consumption gap, and that the influence of new-type urbanization on consumption gap between urban-rural residents showed a certain time lag, which will widen the consumption gap between urban-rural residents in the short term and a negative correlation between the two in the long run. In order to narrow the consumption gap between urban-rural residents, it is suggested that the reform of the household registration system should be strengthened, the "quality" of urbanization should be promoted and the income gap between urban-rural residents should be narrowed and the level of government transfer payments to rural areas should be improved.

收稿日期：2015-06-30

基金项目：新疆生产建设兵团社会科学基金项目(11BTYB07)；石河子大学高层次人才项目(RCSX201109)

作者简介：徐敏(1971-)，女，四川盐城人，石河子大学商学院副教授，博士，主要从事农村金融研究。

A Study on Narrowing Consumption Gap Between Urban-rural

Residents in New-type Urbanization

XU Min, ZHANG Xiao-lin

(Business School, Shihezi University, Wujiaqu 831300, China)

Key words:the new-type urbanization; consumption gap between urban-rural residents; VAR model

一、引言

中国长期依赖投资和出口驱动的经济发展模式使经济增长容易受外部冲击，波动状况日益凸显，经济增长速度持续放缓。外部需求低迷、内部投资放缓使得中国经济发展面临下行的压力和风险。因此，推动消费对经济增长的带动作用是中国急需解决的问题。……